01/11/2022, 1:19 pm EST

New England Arctic Gale, East Coast Snowstorm and ERCOT Ice Ahead

In today's midday update the 12Z GFS produces several major winter events driven by a strong -NAO pattern. First, an arctic gale on the New England Coast Friday night. Second, a late weekend East Coast snowstorm. Third, low latitude ice storm risk centered on Texas later next week.
01/09/2022, 8:29 am EST

Lengthy 2020-22 La Nina May Stick-around in 2022

According to multi-variate ENSO index (MEI), analogs since 2000 having lengthy 2-year-plus La Nina signatures have been slow change phase and sometimes remain in weak La Nina. In 2022, based on the MEI analog there is a 2-in-3 chance ENSO is neutral or weak La Nina the second half of 2022 while El Nino risk is 1-in-3 chance.
01/07/2022, 2:22 pm EST

Super Heat Followed by Rains in Argentina!

An amplifying high-pressure ridge over Argentina is likely to span extreme heat beginning early next week and intensifying throughout the week. High temperatures are routinely in the 100’s early next week across Argentina. However, searing record-breaking 110’s is projected for middle of next week. The extreme heat lasts to Monday, January 17th shifting to northern Argentina.