11/14/2019, 8:17 am EST

Two Climate Alerts: +IOD Begins to Fade; Stratospheric Warming Ahead

Two climate alerts are issued. The positive phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole causing the Australian drought is beginning to ease increasing risk of returning beneficial rainfall late rthis summer season. A stratospheric warming event initiates in 10 days over Alaska and could cause an arctic outbreak in North America in early December.
11/11/2019, 12:25 pm EST

Progressive MJO Sustains Cold U.S. Pattern

Extended-range forecast models are very warm across the U.S. However, a moderate-to-strong progressive Madden Julian oscillation, continued negative phase of the arctic oscillation and expanding snow cover implies and warm-ups will be brief and overall the U.S. stays cold into Thanksgiving week.
11/07/2019, 3:29 pm EST

Global Soil Moisture Anomalies And 3-Month Trend

The most striking soil moisture anomalies across the globe as of Nov. 1, 2019 is the historic wet signature across India (afte rthe latest wet monsoon on record) and drought signatures ove rparts of Brazi, Europe, South Africa and Australia.
11/05/2019, 8:57 am EST

Global DEC/JAN/FEB 2019-20 SSTA Forecast And Climate Influencers

The North American Multi-Ensemble (NMME) model global sea surface temperature (SSTA) anomaly forecast for DEC/JAN/FEB 2019-20 identifies regions of climate influencers. The ENSO regime is neutral. There is no El Nino or La Nina for 2-4 months from now.