Latest News
10/15/2026, 10:13 am EDT
The NOAA/CPC Seasonal Drought Outlook indicates strengthening drought Interior Northwest while the 2026 severe drought extending from the Great Basin and Southwest U.S. to the Mid-south and Southeast States is (mostly) erased.
10/13/2026, 8:40 am EDT
The Climate Impact Company Nino34 analog forecast through FEB-28 reveals current observations are exceeding the historically most intense (Nino34) signatures. El Nino 2026-27 will be record intense, peaking during DEC-26. El Nino intensity steadily decreases during Q1/2027 shifting to neutral phase by MAY-27. The outlook projects weak La Nina to follow mid-to-late 2027.
10/09/2026, 6:27 am EDT
At 5AM EDT, Hurricane Isaias was located at 26.4N/88.0W or about 200 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River. Isaias is moving north-northeast at 15 mph with top wind near 110 mph. Isaias will become a major hurricane shortly.
10/08/2026, 6:00 am EDT
Overnight, Isaias gained intensity and is moving slightly faster. Morning weather satellite view reveals a concentric strong thunderstorm signature with additional heavy convection extending to the east plus a “tail” into the lower latitudes. This signature indicates additional intensification is likely. The upper shear is immense northwest and north of the hurricane. However, the upper shear is not directly affecting Isaias (yet).
10/06/2026, 12:12 pm EDT
Most striking regarding the latest ECMWF “monthlies” DEC/JAN/FEB 2026-27 climate outlook across North America are the “atmospheric rivers” projected into California and the Southeast/East U.S. Coast and the exceptionally mild Canadian climate which will keep the Northern U.S. without snow cover much of the winter season. The Southern U.S. storm track can generate locally regional chilly air masses.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Two Alerts Posted for Next Week in North Atlantic
Two ALERTS are issued for next week. A likely scenario is the chilly air mass moving across the Northeast States this weekend pushing across the warm western North Atlantic basin causing a low-pressure area to form which winds into a subtropical storm later next week. The slow mover stays offshore but causes strong onshore wind along the East Coast leading to some flooding and certainly beach erosion. A second ALERT is issued for a low-risk tropical cyclone generation in the Caribbean Sea later next week.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
-NAO But Effects Muddled Ahead
The ongoing campaign by Climate Impact Company to identify how mid-latitude oceanic warming affects historical understanding of climate signals continues. The most recent example is the +NAO to -NAO pattern change projection over the next 2-3 weeks.