Latest News

08/12/2025, 9:36 am EDT

East U.S. Heat Breaks Later August But Should Regenerate in September

Beginning next week, the hot weather affecting the East breaks down, and near normal temperatures prevail the remainder of the month. CIC agrees with ECMWF that anomalous warmth regenerates in September (AI and other operational models are cooler in the East during early September).
08/07/2025, 1:42 pm EDT
A map of weather forecast AI-generated content may be incorrect.

12Z GFS: Simultaneous U.S./Europe Heatwaves Next Week

Simultaneous heatwaves affecting high population regions of the U.S. and Europe are indicated by the 12Z GFS for the 6-10-day period. The heatwave continues in the 11-15-day period anchored over the Central/Midwest U.S. and Western Europe (Fig. 3-4).
08/07/2025, 9:05 am EDT
A map of the world with different weather conditions AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Tropics Getting Interesting! 96L Likely to Develop; ALERTs Posted Caribbean Sea/Central Atlantic Days 6-10

Tropical Disturbance 96L is benign. However, tropical cyclone models indicate a west to northwest track with development to a tropical storm this weekend. Extended-range forecasts indicate potential for 96L to become a hurricane meandering off the Northeast Coast later next week. In the 6-10-day period, both GFS and ECM indicate significant tropical cyclone risk in the northeast Caribbean Sea and central North Atlantic tropics.
08/04/2025, 9:20 am EDT
A map of the weather AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Trend Toward La Nina Temporarily Eases, Resumes Later August

Neutral ENSO remains and the recent cooling trend toward La Nina temporarily slows. Once into the second half of August, +SOI is likely to return. A trend toward La Nina is indicated for Q4/2025. Whether the Nino34 SSTA can shift sufficiently cool and stay consistent to initiate La Nina is in question.