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08/18/2026, 8:11 am EDT

The New Drought Area: Mid-south U.S./Texas/North Gulf Coast

NOAA/CPC issues an alert for the medium range for extreme heat risk covering the southern half of the Great Plains and much of the Southern U.S. The attendant lack of rain is causal to flash drought affecting eastern and northern Texas, all of Oklahoma, southeastern Kansas, western Arkansas, and most of Louisiana and Mississippi.
08/17/2026, 2:10 pm EDT

Super El Nino Propelled by Extremely Warm Subsurface Ocean Temperatures

The warmest eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean subsurface temperature anomalies on record are identified by NOAA valid for Aug. 9, 2026. The warmest anomalies are 10-11C warmer than normal near 100-meter depth. The historic warm water identifies the potential energy to warm the ocean surface inspiring an intense El Nino climate.
08/16/2026, 3:45 pm EDT

Beneficial Rainfall Cools off Europe

Upper trough elongates across Western Europe causing widespread rain and cooler temperatures to initiate the week 2-4 outlook. The wet weather carries into early September. Farther downstream, anomalous heat continues in the Black Sea region.
08/14/2026, 5:48 am EDT

After Marine Heatwaves Inspire Summer 2026 Heat and Drought, Super El Nino Next Influence on Europe Late 2026 Climate

The catalyst to the Europe 2026 heat waves was rapid strengthening of record warm marine heatwaves off the West and Southwest Coast of Europe plus the Mediterranean Sea during late spring to early summer. While African heat (also) initiated the anomalous heat, MHW’s sustained the subtropical high pressure ridge maintaining heat waves through summer 2026. Up next is influence on climate by a record El Nino episode.