Latest News

04/23/2025, 5:23 am EDT

Cold Risk Introduced to Australia Winter Outlooks

The Climate Impact Company constructed analog climate forecast shifted much cooler for meteorological winter 2025 across Australia. The catalyst to the outlook is an evolving negative phase of the Indian Ocean dipole while neutral ENSO continues. The upper air features a persistent upper ridge across the warming waters west of Australia with a compensating semi-permanent chilly trough over Australia.
04/20/2025, 7:05 am EDT

Another Cool Wave Toward Ukraine/Black Sea Region Next Weekend

Through the next 5 days, the Black Sea region including Ukraine is exceptionally warm although flipping much cooler as a cold front arrives during the 6-10-day period when the 32F<0C line shifts south almost reaching Ukraine and Southwest Russia crop areas.
04/15/2025, 4:56 am EDT

Heavy Rain Ahead Western Europe, Black Sea Turns Warmer

The recent cold wave across Southeast Europe to Turkey was caused by a polar vortex generation likely related to stratospheric warming in the polar region of the past 6 weeks. Another intense trough spins out of that regime and brings heavy rain to Southwest and South Europe through the next 10 days.
04/14/2025, 5:19 am EDT

One of The Worst Freezes on Record Southeast Europe, Turkey, and into Black Sea Region

A late season cold wave has produced significant crop damage to the Eastern Europe/Black Sea/Turkey/Southwest Russia region. The farthest east cold spike was April 10-11 causing the worst freeze since 2014 in Turkey. The peak cold during April 7-9 was across Romania and Ukraine. Coldest mornings during the freeze events were in the -10’sC!
04/11/2025, 8:53 am EDT

Forecast Confidence for U.S. Summer 2025 Outlooks

Comparing the CIC-CA summer 2025 outlook and the NOAA/CPC probabilistic summer 2025 outlook to establish confidence indicates a high probability of hot to very hot summer climate in the West, heavy rains in the Southeast, and a North-central to Interior Northwest U.S. drought.