Latest News
08/23/2026, 7:17 pm EDT
Recently, wet weather has developed across parts, not all, of the Europe drought region. The week 2-4 outlook indicates additional rainfall is likely to help ease drought in parts of Europe.
08/19/2026, 4:31 am EDT
The Climate Impact Company month 1-4 ahead forecast for South America is updated. The outlook is based primarily on the evolution of Super El Nino and variable anomalous warm SSTA off each coast. The outlook warrants an ALERT for developing/widening/intensifying drought in Brazil as meteorological summer 2026-27 arrives. Additionally, excessive rainfall causing dangerous flooding emerges in Southeast Brazil and may expand westward as summertime arrives.
08/18/2026, 8:11 am EDT
NOAA/CPC issues an alert for the medium range for extreme heat risk covering the southern half of the Great Plains and much of the Southern U.S. The attendant lack of rain is causal to flash drought affecting eastern and northern Texas, all of Oklahoma, southeastern Kansas, western Arkansas, and most of Louisiana and Mississippi.
08/17/2026, 2:10 pm EDT
The warmest eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean subsurface temperature anomalies on record are identified by NOAA valid for Aug. 9, 2026. The warmest anomalies are 10-11C warmer than normal near 100-meter depth. The historic warm water identifies the potential energy to warm the ocean surface inspiring an intense El Nino climate.
08/16/2026, 3:45 pm EDT
Upper trough elongates across Western Europe causing widespread rain and cooler temperatures to initiate the week 2-4 outlook. The wet weather carries into early September. Farther downstream, anomalous heat continues in the Black Sea region.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
ALERT for Eastern North Atlantic Tropics Tropical Cyclone Later This Week
Two systems are monitored in the North Atlantic tropics this morning. A tropical disturbance east of Bermuda is drifting north with a 50% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone, according to NOAA/NHC, this week.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Accelerating El Nino Intensity Slows Down
Climate Impact Company refers to El Nino intensity as “strong” to “super” intensity due to relative Nino34 SSTA stuck at +1.8C and conventional Nino34 SSTA just above the +2.5C super El Nino threshold. However, without question, due to immense subsurface heating in the equatorial East Pacific, potential for the strongest El Nino on record later this year remains indicated.