Latest News
03/23/2026, 9:59 am EDT
Tropical Storm Narelle rests over the coastal northwest portion of Australia soon to move offshore and begin to redevelop. In 4-5 days, Narelle reaches category-2 or category-3 intensity moving into the northwest coast of Western Australia. Through 10 days, the West Coast region of Australia is very wet.
03/20/2026, 8:39 am EDT
The wetter pattern change begins to emerge in the 11-15-day period, has developed in the 16-20-day period, and expands in the 16-30-day period. The core of the heavier rain is unclear based on the latest CFS, ECM, and GC forecasts.
03/19/2026, 8:18 am EDT
The effect of the Middle East War on energy supply and prices increases the value of U.S. cooling degree day projections for the 2026 warm season. Provided is a monthly discussion of expectations and charts for each NOAA/EIA region of the U.S.
03/17/2026, 8:00 am EDT
The latest 15-day percent of normal rainfall forecast by ECM unloads heavy rain on Argentina. The wet forecast is supported, at least through the next 10 days, by an upper-level low-pressure trough off the Chilean Coast where SSTA continue much above normal adding to the risk of potential significant rainfall.
03/15/2026, 9:39 am EDT
About 75% of the U.S. is in a dry-to-drought soil moisture condition as meteorological spring arrives. Combining the month of February during 2000, 2012, and 2025 yields a similar Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) regime to FEB-26.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Northwest HYDRO Outlook: Reconsidering the “Warm Blob” Influence
Required is a review of the upper air patterns from the 2014-16 “warm blob” years for the PNA region during APR/MAY and JUN/JUL to help time maximum snowmelt/water runoff in key Southwest Canada HYDRO locations. The 2026 “warm blob” has record strength aerial coverage making the 2014-16 “warm blob" years a reasonable analog.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Most Likely Scenario for Q2/2026 is Drought Expansion West into Central U.S.
Although forecast models vary and consider possible improvement in U.S. soil moisture by late calendar spring, the Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecast of Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) favors an expansive dry-to-drought pattern for both the West and Central U.S. Forecast confidence is near to above normal on weakening drought risk across the eastern third of the nation and strengthening drought across the West U.S. to Texas. However, forecast confidence is near to below average for the Central U.S. dry outlook.