Latest News
05/12/2025, 5:17 am EDT
Subsidence on the back side of an East Coast trough causes the onset of an excessive hot weather pattern across Texas on Tuesday. The hottest day of an extended heatwave is Wednesday when southwest flow extending across Texas from the hot air source region across the Mexico drought area occurs. Widespread 100’s are likely on Wednesday. The hot southwest flow peaks Wednesday although likely remaining through the 10-day heat wave.
05/08/2025, 3:05 pm EDT
The Climate Impact Company constructed analog ENSO phase forecast valid through May 2026 yields oceanic (Nino34 SSTA) El Nino potential for later this year while the atmospheric (multivariate ENSO index) ENSO phase is neutral. Dynamic models mostly agree with neutral phase.
05/07/2025, 8:28 am EDT
During mid-February to mid-April, the Nino12 SSTA region warmed to an unexpected +1C to +2C. During the 2-month period, the warm waters in this region contributed to a wet climate bias favoring northwest South America and eastward into North-central Brazil. As the Nino12 region cooled recently, wet weather shifted across Brazil.
05/06/2025, 5:06 am EDT
An amplifying upper-level low-pressure trough is forecast to settle over Europe through mid-May causing excessive rainfall from Southern Europe to Southwest Russia. Much of Europe turns much cooler due to the long-lasting storm. The Eastern Europe to Southwest Russia drought certainly receives some wet relief in this pattern. However, Western Europe is dry.
05/05/2025, 12:43 pm EDT
The opinion of Climate Impact Company is that -IOD generation – which is expected – will regenerate La Nina for later this year which would enhance seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
A Look At Australia Bureau of Meteorology JUN/JUL/AUG 2025 Global SSTA Forecast
The latest JUN/JUL/AUG 2025 global SSTA forecast from the Australia Bureau of Meteorology reveals neutral ENSO with slight warming of the Nino SSTA regions, the beginnings of negative phase Indian Ocean dipole (-IOD), and a summertime North Atlantic basin which is warmer than normal although not nearly as warm as recent years.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Latest North Atlantic Basin SSTA Analysis
The official start of the North Atlantic basin tropical cyclone season is June 1st. During the active tropical cyclone season period of 2016-2024 when an average of 18-19 named storms have generated each year, the North Atlantic has averaged much warmer than normal and a likely catalyst to the active period. As mid-May approaches, the North Atlantic basin is marginally warm (+0.37C) and 0.23C cooler than 1 year ago.