Latest News

07/22/2025, 4:49 am EDT
A map of the world AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Eastern Europe to The Black Sea Region Shifts Wetter/Cooler

AI 4Cast Net V2 ECM ENS is used operationally due to the much higher skill score compared to traditional operational models during the past 30 days. The outlook is considerably cooler across Eastern Europe where a wet pattern resides. Wet and cool weather extends to the Black Sea region.
07/20/2025, 12:16 pm EDT
A map of the united states with different colored lines AI-generated content may be incorrect.

U.S. Crop Areas Hit By Heavy Rain Vs. Extreme Heat

The 2-week outlook across the U.S. features harsh high impact weather including a stretch of heavy rain, severe thunderstorms, and local flooding from the Southern Canadian Prairies across the North-Central U.S. and through the Midwest States.
07/18/2025, 5:44 am EDT
A graph of a temperature forecast AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Comparing Best Dynamic and Machine Learning Forecast Models for Australia Outlook

On July 1st, the Artificial Intelligence Forecast System Ensemble (AIFS ENS) was introduced. So far, AIFS ENS is second-best forecasting 2-meter temperature across Australia for both the 6-10-day and 11-15-day periods. ECM ENS is number 1! The ECM ENS is routinely at the top for the past 1 year of the evaluations shown for most parts of the world including North America and Europe. The AIFS ENS debut is impressive, challenging ECM ENS at the top.
07/17/2025, 6:04 am EDT
A graph of a number of people AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Midwest/Central U.S. Heat Wave!

93L moves inland over Louisiana today unloading 3-6 inches of rain across the coastal region. A Flood Watch covers the entire southern half of Louisiana. The latent heat release of the stagnant convection over the next 2-3 days is released into the middle atmosphere to the north and forces a high-pressure area to build. The high pressure expands westward while continuing to strengthen causing a late July massive heatwave!
07/15/2025, 4:59 am EDT
A map of the united states AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Issuing Heat Alert for Central/South-central U.S. Late July

Intense heat featuring widespread risk of >100F is indicated for the southern ½ to 2/3 of the U.S. into early August. The hardest hit is the Dallas to Kansas City to Atlanta triangle. The entire area is dry enhancing the heat. There is general agreement with other models (GFS ENS and AI) except for CFS V2 which is farther west with the upper ridge.