Latest News
03/17/2024, 7:11 am EDT
The convection phase of the Madden Julian oscillation stretches across Maritime Continent and responsible for an active tropical cyclone pattern affecting Australia including Cateogry-2 Tropical Cyclone Megan on the North Coast. As the MJO shifts eastward and across the equatorial Pacific, the 5th such MJO surge since last September, a wetter pattern for Brazil and the Midwest U.S. generates in 8-14 days.
03/13/2024, 3:51 am EDT
During meteorological winter, the northern hemisphere received mostly a wetter soil moisture signature largely due to the influence of El Nino. In the U.S., most of the western half of the U.S. observed a wet soil moisture trend. Similarly, the U.S. East Coast trend was wetter particularly in the Northeast Corridor. The drier tendency in the Midwest continued.
03/13/2024, 3:49 am EDT
Using a different approach to analog ENSO phase for 2024, Climate Impact Company takes a look at the peak ocean heat east of the Dateline late in the year of the ongoing El Nino compared to the loss of upper ocean heat as El Nino weakens the following February.
03/08/2024, 5:33 am EST
The tropical South Atlantic continues to observe record warm ocean temperatures. The influence on summer climate of the anomalous warmth was significant. Strong difluence in the upper atmosphere across the warm water zone represents anomalous convection (thunderstorm activity). To compensate for the rising air motion, an area of subsidence (sinking motion) over South America was observed during meteorological summer. The sensible weather result was drier and hotter than normal climate across much of Brazil. Of course, El Nino also enhanced this climate anomaly.
03/07/2024, 7:33 pm EST
Another mild winter season across Europe as monthly heating degree day averages for West Europe were seasonably chilly in November and both West and East Europe in January while other months, especially February were prohibitively warm.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Europe/Western Russia Winter 2023-24 Forecast Verification
Winter 2023-24 forecast verification: The Climate Impact Company (CIC) DEC/JAN/FEB 2023-24 temperature and precipitation outlook scored exceptionally well except for the cold regime in Northwest Russia.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Verification of the Summer 2023-24 Climate across South America
Provided is an explanation of the primary climate drivers of the just-completed meteorological summer climate pattern across South America. Emphasized is the influence of the (record warm) SSTA pattern in the tropics on the intra-tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and the latent heat release form the attendant convection leading to subtropical high pressure in the subtropical to mid-latitudes across South America.