Latest News
03/13/2026, 5:10 am EDT
The ECM ENS 15-day percent of normal rainfall forecast indicates an evolving storm track stretching across the Mediterranean Sea and reaching the Middle East. The wet weather pattern which also affects North Africa is supported by an elongated upper-level low-pressure trough.
03/12/2026, 5:33 am EDT
A major high wind event extends from the Northern Rockies to the Midwest U.S. today and tonight featuring wind gusts above hurricane force in the northwest Great Plains today, near 70 mph Midwest tonight, and gusting 55-65 mph in the Ohio Valley midday tomorrow. A second storm brings wind gusts to 45-60 mph Sunday night across the Midwest and Ohio Valley shifting across the Northeast Corridor with severe storms on Monday.
03/11/2026, 4:44 am EDT
A combination of zonal flow in the 1-5-day and 11-15-day period and titanic Southwest U.S. high pressure ridging in the 6-10-day period leaves the west and southwest Great Plains without rain and increasingly very warm in the latest ECM 15-day forecast. Texas to Oklahoma shift wetter in the 16-30-day period while the western Great Plains stay dry and very warm. U.S. hard red winter wheat becomes a hot spot for drought development.
03/09/2026, 2:04 pm EDT
The Climate Impact Company MAR-26 to FEB-28 ENSO phase forecast is based on a constructed analog utilizing upper ocean heat anomalies east of the Dateline, Nino34 SSTA, and southern oscillation index. The upper ocean heat in the eastern equatorial East Pacific became immense during February and is the leading indicator of El Nino risk ahead.
03/05/2026, 5:39 am EST
The severe weather pattern continues today and into the weekend. Severe thunderstorms including a tornado risk reform across the southern Great Plains later today and tonight. A widening area of severe storms and tornado risk stretch across the eastern Great Plains and include Texas to the Midwest States tomorrow.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Winter 2025-26 State Temperature/Precipitation Rankings. Record Warm West/South; Scarry Dry Mid-south U.S.
U.S. meteorological winter 2025-26 was the warmest on record for 9 western U.S. states from Oregon to Texas. The western half of the U.S. finished MUCH ABOVE or RECORD warm. The only colder than normal states were Ohio, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Massachusetts. Delaware was the coldest state (historically). U.S. county temperature rankings reveal much of the Southwest U.S. including the southern half of California were record warm during 2025-26 meteorological winter. Much of the Northeast U.S. Corridor was marginally colder than normal during the winter season.
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Are Marine Heatwaves Correlated to the Upper Air Pattern Causing Sensible Weather?
Two marine heatwaves (MHW) are located off the U.S. and Baja California West Coast. MHW NEP25A reached record aerial coverage last autumn although weaker now while MHW NEP25B formed late last year, persisted all winter, and strengthened. Meanwhile, the Gulf of Mexico SSTA is +1.35C ranking in the top 1% warmest (since 1982).