Latest News
06/02/2025, 9:26 am EDT
The NCEP CFS V2 Nino34 SSTA forecast continues to reveal a wide array of possible ENSO conditions for later this year. The latest 8 members of the ensemble forecast indicates a range of neutral ENSO to strong La Nina by early meteorological autumn.
06/01/2025, 9:38 am EDT
The NOAA risk of heat-related impacts forecast returns today. Climate Impact Company will use the most important potential hot weather days in daily reports. Today, highlighted are 3 days of important heat. The first is tomorrow when unusual moderate heat risk affects the Upper Midwest. The “unusual” moderate heat risk shifts across the Ohio Valley midweek and through the Northeast Corridor on Thursday. Low 90’s can occur in this zone. The highest heat risk (relative to normal) this week is on Saturday and targets the San Antonio to Houston area.
05/29/2025, 3:54 am EDT
The Madden Julian oscillation 14-day forecast settles on phase_7/phase_8 during the medium range with increasing intensity justifying a cooler and wetter East U.S. forecast. The ECM ENS 15-day percent of normal rainfall outlook indicates wet weather, possibly heavy rain in the southern Great Plains with the wet regime expanding to the Tennessee Valley and southern Ohio Valley.
05/27/2025, 5:32 am EDT
Over the weekend, GFS indicated potential for an emerging chilly trough across Northwest Eurasia in the 11-15-day period. Last night, ECM joined forces with GFS as forecast confidence increases dramatically. The negative phase of the Scandinavia Index supports the presence of the projected Northwest Eurasia trough by the operational models.
05/23/2025, 9:12 am EDT
An upper trough located in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico spawning a massive amount of rain across the Gulf of Mexico affecting the coastal region. A careful watch late in the period for any subtropical/tropical low-pressure development.
Climate Impact Company Chart of the Day
Do Large Areas of Wet Soils Affect Summertime Temperature Regimes?
Vividly displayed to start meteorological summer is the influence a large area of wet soil conditions has on the prevailing weather pattern. The mid-to-late spring heavy rains have turned the Mid-south U.S. (and vicinity) soaking wet. The 15-day temperature anomaly outlook by AI Graph Cast projects a large area of suppressed heat risk across the wet soil region (and vicinity).
Climate Impact Company Climate Diagnostics
Dramatic Cool Change to Ocean Surface Off Northeast U.S. Coast
The ocean surface off the Northeast Corridor Coast has cooled significantly during the past 2 weeks. Much of the cooling is due to a countering (to the Gulf Stream) cold current flowing southwestward from just off Newfoundland. The ocean surface is several to 6C cooler than normal in this cool zone, most vividly indicated off the northern Mid-Atlantic Coast.