Wind Outlook Discussion: In this report, our concern is with California and Texas. All models are considered to help identify any peak wind generation events and their catalyst. Beginning with Northern California (Fig. 1), unusual high wind events in the 15-day forecast are not expected. However, several periods of moderate wind are indicated. Today through Thursday offers a light to sometimes moderate northeast to southeast wind. A similar weather wet-up brings a stronger easterly wind on Saturday into Sunday. ECMWF is strongest with this event. On October 23-24, moderate to strong northwest wind trailing a Pacific cold front is expected. In Southern California (Fig. 2), several events are indicated featuring moderate wind power generation potential. However, each may be over-forecast given questionable synoptic dynamics. Each event indicated are east-southeasterlies driven by low-pressure near the southern California Coast. In Texas (Fig. 3), the events identified are supported by synoptic events. Briefly windy trailing a passing cold front tonight/tomorrow followed by more favorable wind generation episodes this weekend and early next week. Southwesterlies are moderate this weekend ahead of a cold front. Easterlies trailing that cold front are more impressive early next week. Each event can last 2 days. A period of moderate southwesterlies is indicated for 2 to 3 days centered on October 21-23. Fig. 1: Wind generation potential using all models through the next 15 days for Northern California. Fig. 2: Wind generation potential using all models through the next 15 days for Southern California. Fig. 3: Wind generation potential using all models through the next 15 days for Texas. Solar Outlook Discussion: The 15-day outlook indicates a peak event (which is about 85% of the absolute peak this time of year) across CAISO is present late this week and through the weekend as clouds in Southern California break (Fig. 4). GFS returns cloudiness on the weekend and consequently this forecast is made with below average confidence. Another peak event occurs October 19-20. Across ERCOT (Fig. 5), separate peak events are more clearly defined. Peak solar generation potential (for October) is indicated on Oct. 13 followed by a 2-day event on Oct. 19-20 and a 3rd episode Oct. 26-27. Sunny and dry weather across Texas is about to give way to periodic rain and clouds. Fig. 4: Solar generation potential using all models through the next 15 days for CAISO. Fig. 5: Solar generation potential using all models through the next 15 days for ERCOT.