01/07/2019, 1:38 pm EST

El Nino 2019 In Doubt

The Nino SSTA regions are cooling. Upper ocean heat remains robust but is subsiding. NCEP ENSO forecast models indicate very weak El Nino ahead and neutral phase by summer. The popular NCEP CFS V2 model is too warm.
01/02/2019, 4:26 am EST

A Reluctant El Nino Entering 2019

NOAA El Nino climatology for DEC/JAN/FEB has verified with hits and misses so far as El Nino is still trying to fully develop.
12/27/2018, 12:45 pm EST

Daily feature: Vast Cooldown of the North Pacific Leads to a Warm December in U.S.

The heat release into the atmosphere by a vast cooldown of the North Pacific in December contributed to a very warm climate across the U.S. for the month.
12/24/2018, 7:31 am EST

Rain and Snow Storms Ahead for East/South U.S. into New Year

A quiet Christmas across the Central and East U.S. weather-wise but changes are on the way as a rain storm evolves Central to Southeast U.S. mid-to-late week with trailing heavy snows in the Upper Midwest. A New Year's Even snow storm from Chicago to Boston is possible.