The Nino SSTA regions are cooling. Upper ocean heat remains robust but is subsiding. NCEP ENSO forecast models indicate very weak El Nino ahead and neutral phase by summer. The popular NCEP CFS V2 model is too warm.
A quiet Christmas across the Central and East U.S. weather-wise but changes are on the way as a rain storm evolves Central to Southeast U.S. mid-to-late week with trailing heavy snows in the Upper Midwest. A New Year's Even snow storm from Chicago to Boston is possible.