The most dramatic soil moisture changes the past 3 months are wetter across the eastern half of the U.S., drier in Brazil and South Africa.

Quantifying the influence of Madden Julian oscillation on West Coast extreme precipitation events is the atmospheric river index produced by Scripps.

ENSO is now in neutral phase. However, resurgent warming has appeared near the Dateline. If that warmth shifts eastward which is likely then another El Nino onset risk redevelops during upcoming spring season.

Rapid development of warm SSTA in the middle latitude southern hemisphere is well correlated to searing heat and drought in Australia and Brazil.