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05/03/2024, 5:27 am EDT
05/03/2024, 5:27 am EDT

Cooler Pattern Western Russia (After Record Warm April)

Negative Scandinavia index which represents a sharp trough over Northwest Eurasia dominates the first half of May pattern. The trough lingers into mid-May according to ECM sustaining cool weather across Western Russia and a wet scenario across Southwest Russia and eastward.
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05/01/2024, 8:46 am EDT
05/01/2024, 8:46 am EDT

The Brazil Drought is Worsening

Extremely dry weather was observed the last week of April across South-central to Coastal Brazil. The 10-day outlook maintains the dryness with high temperatures consistently in the 32-35C range. The dry pattern widens during the period.
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04/29/2024, 5:08 am EDT
04/29/2024, 5:08 am EDT

ECM ENS (Dynamic Model) Vs. AI 4CastNet V2 (AI Model) for U.S. in 10+ Days

Siding with the AI 4Cast Net V2 forecast direction heading into mid-May. Why? Cooling of the western North Atlantic as previously stated last week. NCEP CFS V2 is the operational model capturing this philosophy. The model is substantially cooler than ECM. A marked cool change is indicated for the Midwest U.S. with a southern shift from Canada to the Mid-south States of the wet weather belt. A major change!
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