02/27/2023, 8:37 pm EST

Oceanic La Nina Fades to Neutral Phase

Last week, Nino34 SSTA warmed to -0.3C which is neutral ENSO. Only the Nino4 region is at the La Nina threshold. The Nino3 SSTA warmed too exactly normal. The weekly observations maintain the trend of a slow decay of La Nina dating back to late last year.
02/23/2023, 5:09 pm EST

MJO Shift Drives Colder U.S. Pattern in March

ECMWF 30-day MJO forecast indicates and intense signature shifting through the eastern equatorial Pacific and into the tropical Atlantic during March. Normally, during early meteorological spring, MJO shifting into this region with intensity produces a cold U.S. upper trough pattern as indicated by ECMWF "Weeklies".
02/22/2023, 8:14 am EST

Super Warm SSTA Forecasts for Middle of 2023

Most global SSTA forecasts reveal El Nino for the northern hemisphere summer of 2023 plus widespread marine heat waves in the mid-latitude oceans. If so, 2023 is likely the warmest year on record, a common occurrence during the past 10-15 years.
02/15/2023, 2:08 pm EST

After A Cool Summer an Australian Heatwave Develops

Anomalous heat is generating across Australia thanks to a titanic semi-permanent high-pressure area centered on Western Australia through the next 1-2 weeks. The hottest day of many ahead appears to be February 20th when widespread 100-115F (38-46C) is observed.