01/22/2019, 12:58 pm EST

South America Climate Pattern Not Caused by El Nino

Agriculture markets in South America have blamed EL Nino for heavy rains in northeast Argentina and crop-impending drought across Brazil. However, the feedback to the atmosphere by excessive dry and wet soil regimes is enhancing already semi-permanent upper air features maintaining the summertime climate and likely to continue through February. It's not El Nino.
01/21/2019, 10:25 am EST

Last Week’s Global Climate Observations/This Week’s Highlights

Last week searing heat affected Australia and more is expected this week. Argentina rains/dry southwest Brazil climate returned. In Europe to Western Russia a mild climate was observed last week which is about to reverse much colder.
01/15/2019, 9:30 am EST

Atmospheric Angular Momentum Spike Ahead

Helping to spark a colder and snowier regime across eastern North America to close January is a spiking positive phase of the atmospheric angular momentum.
01/10/2019, 9:55 am EST

Influence of Madden Julian Oscillation on Climate

Within the energy and agriculture markets there is great interest in the Madden Julian oscillation (MJO). Why? The MJO is an intra-seasonal mode of climate variability enhancing tropical cyclone risk and modifying monsoon regimes in the tropics and when strong enough affects the mid-latitude storm track increasing the risk of weather extremes.