Along the southern periphery of the active Midwest U.S. weather pattern, building anomalous heat will last through much of the next 2 weeks. The risk of 100F reaches Southern Nebraska and Kansas to the Southern Missouri Valley (and southward) consistently during the hot period. The Mid-south, Southern Plains, and much of Texas receives no rain and Southern Plains drought is expansive.

Cool relief for the Northeast U.S. according to the 12Z GFS while Mid-south heat is intense days 6-10 and widens days 11-15 from the Great Plains to the Southeast U.S. The 12Z GFS maintains an arc of heavy rain and severe weather from the Midwest U.S. to the Mid-Atlantic States.

Paris/Orly observed a record 208 CDD during July 2026 eclipsing the previous high mark of 192 (2006). June also produced a record CDD and August 2026 is projected in the top five hottest although a hotter value is certainly possible.

The super drought covering much of Europe continues to expand during early August. During the past week, very little rainfall was observed across the southern 2/3 of Europe including the immediate Black Sea region.