02/16/2019, 8:17 am EST

Is El Nino Really Here?

Last week NOAA announced an El Nino Advisory as onset of El Nino arrived. The Nino SSTA observations do not confirm that analysis. Using the daily NOAA global SSTA observations revealed is that warmth in the eastern half of the equatorial Pacific Ocean is obvious only near the Dateline (Nino4 region).
02/14/2019, 5:59 am EST

Soaking Wet Soils Central and East U.S.

Near record soil moisture is observed across the Great Plains and East U.S. and is likely to continue through springtime.
02/10/2019, 10:32 am EST

Strongest –PNA on record beneath a historic cold polar vortex causes record West U.S. cold in February. Related to solar minima?

The cold and snow in the West U.S. is becoming extreme. HDD projections indicate a colder February than 1989. A likely historic negative phase (for February) of the Pacific North America index is partially to blame.
02/08/2019, 10:04 am EST

Global Soil Moisture Trend & Outlook

The most dramatic soil moisture changes the past 3 months are wetter across the eastern half of the U.S., drier in Brazil and South Africa.