The cold and snow in the West U.S. is becoming extreme. HDD projections indicate a colder February than 1989. A likely historic negative phase (for February) of the Pacific North America index is partially to blame.

The most dramatic soil moisture changes the past 3 months are wetter across the eastern half of the U.S., drier in Brazil and South Africa.

ENSO is now in neutral phase. However, resurgent warming has appeared near the Dateline. If that warmth shifts eastward which is likely then another El Nino onset risk redevelops during upcoming spring season.