In September the super dry pattern of the 2018 warm season across Europe continued. Less than 50% of normal rainfall was observed across much of Southeast Europe, France and parts of north/northeast Europe plus Portugal into Spain and Italy. The climate pattern causing the drought initiated last spring and continues into autumn likely intensifying the next 2+ weeks.

Positive phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole and El Nino, possibly El Nino Modoki combine to support the anomalous dry and hot climate forecast by the European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) "monthlies" model provided by CWG/Storm Vista.

Kong-Rey was just downgraded to a category 2 typhoon turning north toward South Korea and Japan. Meanwhile Walaka is a category 4 hurricane west of Hawaii heading north. In the East Pacific Sergio is a major hurricane still intensifying while moving west.

A persistent chill enhanced by advancing snow cover over the North-Central U.S. into the middle third of October is separated to the East by unusually warm climate. In-between a zone of heavy rain will persist bringing flooding rainfall across areas where soil moisture has already increased significantly during late summer.