The catalyst for recent rainfall shortages acclerating Australian drought, the positive phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole is collapsing. Neutral phase Iod is forecast for Q1 of 2020. The influence on Australian climate? Beneficial rains ahead IF the tropics are active.
The NOAA/CPC long-lead climate forecasts indicate risk of a very snowy and cold northern U.S. climate for quarter 1 of 2020 followed by another very wet spring in U.S. Growing Areas followed by heavy rain risk in the Mid-Atlantic during next summer.
Temperature anomaly forecasts for the next 5 days indicate historic heat affecting much of the southern half of Australia as temperatures are likely to exceed 120F away from the coast and 102-108 in Adelaide to Melbourne!