Positive phase of the Indian Ocean Dipole and El Nino, possibly El Nino Modoki combine to support the anomalous dry and hot climate forecast by the European Center for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) "monthlies" model provided by CWG/Storm Vista.

Kong-Rey was just downgraded to a category 2 typhoon turning north toward South Korea and Japan. Meanwhile Walaka is a category 4 hurricane west of Hawaii heading north. In the East Pacific Sergio is a major hurricane still intensifying while moving west.

A persistent chill enhanced by advancing snow cover over the North-Central U.S. into the middle third of October is separated to the East by unusually warm climate. In-between a zone of heavy rain will persist bringing flooding rainfall across areas where soil moisture has already increased significantly during late summer.

Late season dangerous north-turning major tropical cyclones will bring life threatening high wind and excessive rainfall to Japan and life-threatening flooding to the Southwest U.S.