07/30/2023, 12:51 pm EDT

Cool Northern U.S. Pattern Change But Will It Last?

In 10-15 days, possible changes are looming. The global atmospheric angular momentum (GLAAM) pattern may flip negative for the first time during the summer season signaling a slowdown in the upper air pattern. If so, recent much warmer GFS 11-15-day forecasts and the ECM 16-20/16-30-day forecasts may regenerate another fierce hot upper ridge pattern for mid-to-late August.
07/25/2023, 5:30 am EDT

Midwest U.S. Drought Worsening Again

Yesterday’s rainfall needed to neutralize dry Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) analysis from NOAA/CPC revealed the Midwest U.S. Drought worsened last week. Short-term forecasts indicate searing heat risk increase and limited rainfall ahead into next week as the drought will continue to worsen.
07/24/2023, 11:50 am EDT

Atmospheric El Nino Climate Continues to Lag Oceanic El Nino

Oceanic El Nino continues to slowly strengthen and is now at moderate intensity. Subsurface warming is convening in the eastern equatorial Pacific to provide more ammunition to strengthen El Nino. However, the sustained 1-2-month-long negative southern oscillation index required to generate an El Nino climate has not yet materialized.
07/23/2023, 3:41 pm EDT

Northeast Pacific Marine Heat Wave Shifts To Coast; New Marine Heat Wave Off Newfoundland

The Northeast Pacific marine heatwave “NEP23A” has intensified and shifted east during the past several weeks. Meanwhile, a dramatic change in the North Atlantic SSTA pattern has emerged causing weather pattern changes and extreme events.