Extremes characterize U.S. soil moisture in August. Flash drought has developed across Oklahoma and vicinity. Drought is also intensifying across the Upper Midwest. The Midwest has shifted dramatically much wetter during late summer.

Recently, wet weather has developed across parts, not all, of the Europe drought region. The week 2-4 outlook indicates additional rainfall is likely to help ease drought in parts of Europe.

The Climate Impact Company month 1-4 ahead forecast for South America is updated. The outlook is based primarily on the evolution of Super El Nino and variable anomalous warm SSTA off each coast. The outlook warrants an ALERT for developing/widening/intensifying drought in Brazil as meteorological summer 2026-27 arrives. Additionally, excessive rainfall causing dangerous flooding emerges in Southeast Brazil and may expand westward as summertime arrives.

NOAA/CPC issues an alert for the medium range for extreme heat risk covering the southern half of the Great Plains and much of the Southern U.S. The attendant lack of rain is causal to flash drought affecting eastern and northern Texas, all of Oklahoma, southeastern Kansas, western Arkansas, and most of Louisiana and Mississippi.