News
06/10/2024, 5:44 am EDT

Dramatic and Different Europe/Russia Spring 2024 Climate

Europe and Western Russia are the target of extreme weather and climate conditions through the spring season. On May 7, Moscow declared a state of emergency for crop conditions due to damage suffered during many freeze events occurring in early-to-mid May. Not helping is the long-term lack of precipitation in the Eastern Black Sea region throughout Southwest Russia. Conversely, much of Europe is soaking wet since March 1.
06/06/2024, 8:13 am EDT

The U.S. Corn Belt Concern

The 2024 North Atlantic basin tropical cyclone season is forecast to potentially be the most active on record given the unusually warm North Atlantic Ocean surface and anticipated evolving La Nina climate. Given this scenario, concern is increasing regarding a wet climate (due to tropical activity) in the Gulf of Mexico and the latent heat release of that convective rain northward to cause the atmosphere to warm and high pressure to form in the Ohio Valley where EDDI shows drought potential.
06/04/2024, 2:32 pm EDT

Neutral ENSO Here to Stay in June

Entering June 2024, ENSO is in neutral phase. The trend toward (expected) La Nina is apparent, but barely. Needed are stronger trade winds to up-well anomalous cool waters east of 140W longitude in teh equatorial Pacific to cool surface temperatures and cause them to extend westward to initial La Nina. We have a way to go before that happens.
05/31/2024, 8:08 am EDT

Asia Heat Spurs Increased LNG Deliveries Ahead of Summertime

A persistent marine heatwave in the mid-latitude West Pacific has elevated high pressure aloft risk for much of the past several years. A strong marine heatwave in the Northeast Pacific in 2014-16 having tendency to re-emerge in that area last decade shifted westward toward the China Coast and eastward to the Dateline in this decade. The marine heat wave is vividly evident east of China and Japan now and aloft is well-correlated to strong high-pressure ridging extending across the mid-latitude West Pacific to Mongolia during the past 45 days.