08/05/2018, 3:57 pm EDT

Record Strength Easterly Phase of The Quasi-biennial Oscillation Develops

Anytime a mode of climate variability used to assess and/or predict climate a review of its presence and potential impacts is required. During July 2018 the strongest easterly phase of the high level wind over the equatorial region known as the quasi-biennial oscillation evolved.
07/29/2018, 11:52 am EDT

Western U.S. Fire Risk Shifting Northward

Drought fueling intense fires in California (most recently in Redding, CA) is forecast to shift north increasing fire risk drastically to Oregon/Washington for late summer.
07/27/2018, 1:04 pm EDT

Record cool ocean surface in main development region for hurricanes

July 2018 will produce the coolest ocean surface (compared to normal) in the main development region for North Atlantic hurricanes. Implications for the tropical cyclone season ahead is lack of "Cape Verde Storms" (typically the strongest hurricanes) but an active western North Atlantic basin of less intense storms.
07/27/2018, 9:24 am EDT

Change the month, change the weather pattern

There’s an old adage in climate: “change the month, change the pattern”. August 2018 is likely to validate that generalization. One cause of the change which climate scientists say is underestimated by forecasters is seasonality. As the greatest influence of solar heating on the northern hemisphere middle/high latitudes during July descends in August the climate pattern should naturally change.