10/28/2022, 8:43 am EDT

Awesome Influence of Marine Heat Wave NEP22A on North America Climate

The 2022 marine heat wave (MHW) in the Northeast Pacific (NEP22A) is a MAJOR player on modulating northern hemisphere upper air patterns. NEP22A became the 4th warmest MHW in the Northeast Pacific of the past 40 years during early-to-mid autumn. As usual, the attendant upper-level pattern features a titanic ridge across and downwind the “warm blob” and compensating downstream upper trough in the East U.S.
10/25/2022, 4:26 am EDT

Persistent Wet Southeast Brazil Upper Trough Becomes Migratory…Wetter Northeast Brazil

Wet to very wet climate has dominated southwest and interior southeast Brazil during the past 90 days. The culprit has been a semi-permanent (wet) upper-level low-pressure trough over Southeast Brazil. In Novmber, the trough becomes more migratory and forces the wetter climate into Northeast Brazil while Southern Brazil and Argentina have a tendency for drier than normal climate.
10/24/2022, 4:15 am EDT

Australia Extreme Rainfall Shifts Back into Victoria Next 10 Days

Last week excessive rainfall (6-8 in.) was observed over parts of northeast News South Wales and southeast Queensland. According to ECM, the next round of storms will deliver similar rainfall amounts focused on Victoria over the next 10 days causing more flash flooding.
10/21/2022, 8:56 am EDT

Deep Tropics Stay Active Through November Mainly Out-to-Sea Events

The North Atlantic basin is forecast to maintain an unusually high amount of convection mostly in the deep tropics extending well into November. The risk of additional tropical cyclones is high but any storms that form will stay out to sea.