04/16/2018, 11:34 am EDT

East Pacific Subsurface Warming Foreshdows El Nino Ahead

Subsurface warming in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean is increasing based on NOAA analysis. Implied is the complete demise of La Nina and increasing risk of El Nino the second half of 2018. If so, tropical cyclone activity will be diminished in the North Atlantic basin for this summer.
04/12/2018, 11:31 am EDT

High Wind Worsens Great Plains Drought

Hot and dry weather worsen drought. What's worse? High wind with dry air. Across the harsh drought zone of Kansas to northwest Texas and cold northwest wind and very dry air arrives this weekend (after today's extreme heat) followed by another warm surge next Tuesday associated with high wind. Models are forecasting sustained wind in the 25-40 mph range for these events.
04/11/2018, 9:59 am EDT

U.S. Winter 2017-18 Wind Speed Report

The monthly wind speed and wind speed anomaly analysis for each month of the U.S. 2017-18 cold season reveals varying regimes on a month-to-month basis embedded in a La Nina climate. La Nina was weak opening the door for other climate factors including high wind in the East driven by January arctic outbreaks.
04/08/2018, 12:38 pm EDT

The Early Assessment: 2018 Near Normal Tropical Cyclones, Not Nearly As Bad As Last Year

Early assessment of the 2018 North Atlantic tropical cyclone season are generally close to normal and less active than last year. The range in possibilities is well defined by the Colorado State University Tropical Prediction Project on the high end and Tropical Storm Risk/U.K. on the low end. The Climate Impact Co. analog forecast is in-the-middle. The less active than 2017 forecast is based mostly on the cooler North Atlantic tropics.