11/15/2021, 4:53 pm EST

Strong Negative North Atlantic Oscillation Ahead!

Today’s North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) forecast intensifies into the strong negative phase for next week signaling a high latitude blocking pattern forcing a Northeast U.S. storm featuring extreme intensity. Both the GFS and ECM project 970 MB low-pressure which could produce another intense wind event for the northern Mid-Atlantic and New England States for early-to-middle of next week, just before the Thanksgiving Holiday.
11/11/2021, 12:53 pm EST

Why The Polar Vortex Pattern Is Inevitable During January 2022

Inevitable is the likelihood of the feared polar vortex pattern in January 2022. Why? Simply stated, there is precedent for persistent high-amplitude high-pressure ridge areas forming over large regions of much warmer than normal SSTA during the past 10 years in the winter season. Implied by the International Multi-Model Ensemble (IMME) are high-amplitude high-pressure ridge areas across very warm regions of SSTA just east of the Dateline and across western and central North Atlantic. In-between the two ridge areas, the atmosphere (always looking for balance) compensates by allowing a cold upper trough (polar vortex) to form over central North America.
11/09/2021, 4:40 pm EST

Watching the Asia/Bering Sea/North America Index Coupled With The West Pacific Oscillation

Of interest is a steady negative phase of the Asia/Bering Sea/North America (-ABNA) index coupled with a steady negative phase of the West Pacific oscillation (-WPO). The potential result is very cold weather in the 11-15-day period.
11/08/2021, 2:50 pm EST

Rare Excessive Wet And Very Warm Climate AUG/SEP/OCT 2021 for U.S.

A rare combination of historic wet and very warm climate was observed AUG/SEP/OCT 2021 in the U.S. The wet/very warm pattern was propelled by anomalous warm SSTA off the Northeast U.S. Coast to the northern Atlantic.