An energetic storm track across the U.S. is trending stronger in overnight forecasts. Wetter conditions are projected in the AG regions including Mid-south U.S. severe weather and snowfall across the Upper Midwest. Meanwhile, a long-term drought in the Black Sea region receives some beneficial rainfall in the medium range.

Daily soil moisture anomaly analysis from NOAA reveals a developing drought condition in Eastern China. Dry soils are developing in South Korea (where wildfires are burning) and Southern Japan. The developing drought is affecting mainly the eastern portion of wheat, soybean, and corn-growing areas.

Rain is desperately needed in Brazil and the Black Sea region, two extremely important agricultural areas. Wet weather is in the forecast to finish March and begin April for both regions.

The Climate Impact Company 2025 North Atlantic basin tropical cyclone season will maintain the 2016-24 active period. However, the 2025 forecast is slightly below the 2016-24 average activity except for the number of intense hurricanes. The forecast is slightly above the longer-term climatology.