News
09/19/2024, 10:19 am EDT

North Atlantic Tropics Become Favorable for Tropical Cyclone Generation

AIFS indicates potential for a developing tropical cyclone late in the 1-5-day period in the west-central Caribbean Sea. In the 6-10-day period, there is the likelihood of a hurricane developing in the Gulf of Mexico. The hurricane is likely to turn northeastward into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and the Southeast U.S. early in the 11-15-day period.
09/18/2024, 2:50 pm EDT

U.S. Gas Population Weight HDD Forecast Reveals Warm Winter 2024-25

The Climate Impact Company initial U.S. gas population weight heating degree day forecast for the 2024-25 cold season is issued. Most striking is the warm mid-winter forecast as national HDD falls well below the 30-year and 10-year climatology. The DEC-24 and FEB-25 forecasts are each close to the (warm) 10-year normal.
09/17/2024, 4:56 am EDT

Surprise…ENSO Forecast Tilts Toward Stronger La Nina Ahead

The Nino34 SSTA is trending toward the La Nina threshold and subsurface waters of the central/eastern equatorial Pacific are cooling foreshadowing a stronger La Nina ahead as agreed upon by most dynamic ENSO forecast models and Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecasts.