Meteorological spring 2025 was the second warmest on record. Thirty-three states observed MUCH ABOVE normal temperature with 12 states recording an all-time top 5 warmest springtime on record. North Carolina finished 2nd warmest on record.

Climate forecasts indicate drier/hotter risk shifting into the Midwest U.S. later in this summer. Late last week, forecast models suggested a possible onset of this warmer/drier pattern change for the 8-14/11-15-day period. However, over the weekend, forecast models trend wetter/cooler for the Midwest States.

In the extended range, AI Graph Cast and to a certain extent ECM ENS, are shifting West U.S. heat into the Central U.S. In the 16-20-day forecast, the anomalous heat crests over the Midwest States. Both NOAA and Climate Impact Company indicate dry/hot weather for this zone during JUL/AUG/SEP. Is this the onset of that pattern?

May 2025 CDD count was an over-achiever for Europe Western Cities. The consensus of selected West Europe cities CDD in May was MUCH ABOVE normal and inspired by Heathrow and Paris-Orly with warmest departures. The warm signature appears in the June and July forecast for Western Europe as the consensus of selected cities is much warmer than the 10-year normal and except for JUN-23 is the warmest of the past 3 years.