Cooling SSTA Surrounding Northern Europe Foreshadows Incoming Cool Trough

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Ongoing Northwest U.S. Air Quality Alert; Core of Dust/Smoke Shifts Southward in Washington This Week

08/10/2026, 4:23 am EDT
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Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook

Europe/Western Russia

Issued: Wednesday August 12, 2026

Highlight: Relief into late August followed by regenerating warmth and dryness during first half of September.

Charts of the day: Cooling waters surrounding Northern Europe foreshadow upper trough next week.

Discussion: Dramatic cooling of SSTA surrounding Northern Europe foreshadows an upper trough bringing a late August pattern change for Europe as an upper trough emerges next week and lasts into late month.

Week-2 Ahead (August 23-30, 2026): Heat has shifted eastward.

Discussion: Welcomed showery weather across Europe extends to Western Russia. The very warm to hot regime shifts to the Black Sea region and Southwest Russia.

Week-3 Ahead (August 30-September 6, 2026): Very warm/dry pattern regenerates.

Discussion: High pressure extends across Europe and regenerates the very warm and dry pattern. Northern Europe will stay cool.

Week-4 Ahead (September 6-13, 2026): Dryness continues.

Discussion: The warm pattern lingers, centered on Southern Europe, and lacking extremes. Much of Europe is drier than normal.