April 2026 - Climate Impact Company

News

04/24/2026, 8:43 am EDT

Comparing (Climate Impact Co.) Constructed Analog and (ECMWF) Probabilistic Wind Climate Forecast for Australia

The Australia month 1-3 ahead wind speed forecast is presented using two methodologies: 1.) Climate Impact Company constructed analog for zonal and meridional wind directions and 2.) ECMWF probabilistic outlook. ECMWF is generally indicating lighter than normal wind speeds for the 3-month period except above normal wind speeds for the Southeast Coast during JUN/JUL (agreeable to the CIC-CA outlook).

04/23/2026, 8:28 am EDT

Global Marine Heatwave Aerial Coverage is 27% and Forecast to Reach 40% Q3/2026

According to NOAA, aerial coverage of global marine heatwaves (MHW) is 27%. The forecast for aerial coverage from early this year, valid for March, was 23%. Consequently, MHW presence is over-achieving. NOAA is forecasting MHW aerial coverage to increase to 40% later this year, in part due to El Nino.

04/22/2026, 2:21 pm EDT

NAWH/Mediterranean Sea MHW Influence Supports Hit/Dry Europe Summer High-pressure Ridge

When the NAWH and Mediterranean Sea MHW were present during 7 of the past 10 meteorological summer seasons, the influence of the oceanic regime on the prevailing weather pattern across Europe is an amplified high-pressure ridge centered on France and Germany.

04/22/2026, 8:31 am EDT

Piles of Western Canada Snow; When Does it Melt?

In June, during development of the strongest El Nino’s on record (82-83, 97-98, 15-16, and 23-24), high pressure ridging has tendency to amplify and drop anchor on Southwest Canada leading to a dry and warm start to meteorological winter. West/Southwest Canada has endured a snowy 2025-26 winter snow season. A rapid melt would cause serious flooding.