News
04/30/2026, 12:17 pm EDT

Slow Expansion of Great Plains D2-D4 Drought

During May, D2-D4 drought conditions develop in North Dakota and expand by 3-7% in South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, and Oklahoma. The weeklies forecast for May indicate each state in the Great Plains is generally drier than normal with best chance of thundershowers later in the month when the pattern turns warmer than normal.
04/30/2026, 8:38 am EDT

Forecast Models Developing Strong Wet Bias in Midwest States

During the past week, wet weather was observed in California to the Great Basin, Interior Northwest, and Midwest U.S. The GFS precipitation forecasts for this period are notably too wet in Southwest Canada (where no rain or snow occurred) and the Mid-south to Midwest and Northeast States. The ECM ENS verification has a larger area of wet bias including the Southeast States and Great Plains.
04/29/2026, 5:45 am EDT

Very Dry Brazil (Except Southeast) and Midwest U.S. Ahead

No rain is in the forecast for Central/East Brazil (and Central Argentina) through the next 7+days while heavy rain shifts across Parana. In the U.S. a cool and dry air mass spreads across the Great Plains and Midwest States .
04/28/2026, 4:45 pm EDT

Major Snowmelt Warm-up in Southwest Canada Ahead!

As the upper trough deepens in the East next week, a compensating upper ridge crests over Southwest Canada. Copious mid-to-high-level mountain snow melts with peak warming early next week. Serious flooding is possible in this scenario!