News
04/22/2026, 8:31 am EDT

Piles of Western Canada Snow; When Does it Melt?

In June, during development of the strongest El Nino’s on record (82-83, 97-98, 15-16, and 23-24), high pressure ridging has tendency to amplify and drop anchor on Southwest Canada leading to a dry and warm start to meteorological winter. West/Southwest Canada has endured a snowy 2025-26 winter snow season. A rapid melt would cause serious flooding.
04/22/2026, 7:02 am EDT

Wet +IOD Runs Some Interference on Dry El Nino Climate During India Monsoon Season

The Climate Impact Company constructed analog climate forecast for summer 2026 across India is issued. The forecast is confidently based on an emerging strong El Nino, which has a drying effect on India and a less confident evolution of positive phase Indian Ocean dipole, normally a wet influence on India climate. The JUN/JUL/AUG 2026 precipitation forecast across India is mostly dry according to CIC although with some locally patchy wet month-to-month areas.
04/21/2026, 11:05 am EDT

All Nino SSTA Regions Reach El Nino Threshold

The Nino SSTA regions have each passed the El Nino threshold. A NOAA announcement of El Nino onset should occur during May. The subsurface equatorial East Pacific anomalous warmth is immense, and the attendant Kelvin Wave continues to intensify.