Wet Pattern Ahead in Brazil Abates Early May

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Climate Impact Company Week 2-to-4 South America Outlook

Issued: Friday April 10, 2026

Headline: Wet pattern in Brazil abates early May.

Chart of the day: The 7-day percent of normal rainfall observations.

Discussion: During the past 7 days, heavy rain has pounced on Northern Argentina while very dry weather has affected Central Argentina and East Brazil.

Week-2 Valid April 19-26, 2026: Heavy rains Brazil.

Discussion: The outlook features heavy rain across much of Central Brazil to Northwest Argentina while Southeast Brazil is dry and hot.

Week-3 Valid April 26-May 3, 2026: Rains shift into Northeast Brazil.

Discussion: The wet pattern in Brazil moves into the northeast region. Elsewhere shifts drier. Hot weather risk continues Southeast Brazil.

Week-4 Valid May 3-10, 2026: Wetter Argentina/drier Brazil pattern change.

Discussion: A pattern change is indicated as Brazil shifts much drier and wet weather returns to northern/northeastern Argentina.