News
01/16/2022, 5:05 pm EST

U.S. Gas/Power Market Notes: Incoming Sharp Cold for East U.S.

Incoming sharp cold to the North and East U.S. is ahead peaking during Jan. 21-27 as indicated by the Climate Impact Company weekly gas population weight HDD anomaly forecasts for the next 4 weeks.
01/16/2022, 5:03 pm EST

U.S. Gas Population Weight 4-Week HDD Anomaly Forecast/Verification

01/16/2022, 5:00 pm EST

U.S. Gas/Power Market Notes: Incoming Sharp Cold for East U.S.

Discussion: Medium-range forecasts have turned colder over the weekend. The cold spike occurs during Jan. 21-27 (259 HDD for the U.S.) with peak intensity in the North-central U.S. while the Ohio Valley, New England and Mid-Atlantic regions (Fig. 1) plus the Southeast States are also hard-hit (Fig. 2). The buoyant (cold) departures from normal for next week could easily be more prohibitive based on forecast trend! Some moderation is indicated for Jan. 28-Feb. 3 but only marginal as the cold reign continues. The cold is expected to break Feb. 4-10 in the East. Note that ERCOT (South-central) is marginally struck by cold next week. Nationally, the streak of warm weeks in December is clearly finished and the forecast identifies the frigid week of Jan. 21-27 ahead (Fig. 3). Fig. 1: Climate Impact Company 4-week HDD anomaly forecast various North regions. Fig. 2: Climate Impact Company 4-week HDD anomaly forecast various south regions. Fig. 3: Climate Impact Company 4-week verification and forecast of HDD anomalies for the U.S.        
01/16/2022, 1:12 pm EST

A Major East Coast Storm Followed by Cold East U.S. Medium-range Forecast

A major storm moves north-northeast through the Atlantic Seaboard later today and Monday. The storm is unusually intense (976 MB in northern New Hampshire by tomorrow evening) due to entrainment of moisture off the somewhat warmer than normal ocean surface of the Gulf of Mexico and western North Atlantic and the subsequent clash from arctic air from Quebec. A series of major hazards to the East U.S. is caused by this storm.