The anomalous warm middle/northern latitude oceans help to bias North America and Europe warmer than normal well into November. However, ECM indicates potential for cooling to near normal in the U.S> during Thanksgiving week.

October was wet across much of the Black Sea region eroding drought conditions. However, the weather pattern changes as November approaches. Forecast models indicate a very dry pattern through the first half of November in the Black Sea AG regions. Lack of snow cover across Northwest/North Eurasia biases the climate pattern warm. Snow cover continues to reach far southward in Northeast Asia.