Category-5 Major Hurricane Melissa at 901 MB (175 mph wind); 890 MB (190 mph wind) Later Today

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Catastrophic Category-5 Major Hurricane Melissa Ahead for Jamaica
10/26/2025, 1:24 pm EDT
A map of the weather AI-generated content may be incorrect.
Madden Julian Oscillation Update: Influence on La Nina and Potential SSW Events
10/29/2025, 1:00 pm EDT
A diagram of a weather forecast AI-generated content may be incorrect.
Catastrophic Category-5 Major Hurricane Melissa Ahead for Jamaica
10/26/2025, 1:24 pm EDT
A map of the weather AI-generated content may be incorrect.
Madden Julian Oscillation Update: Influence on La Nina and Potential SSW Events
10/29/2025, 1:00 pm EDT
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A satellite image of a hurricane AI-generated content may be incorrect.

 

Climate Impact Company North Atlantic Basin 10-Day Monitor

Issued: Tuesday October 28, 2025, 8:20AM EST

Highlight: Melissa at 901 MB (175 mph wind), could lower to 890 MB (190 mph wind) today striking Jamaica.

A satellite image of a hurricane AI-generated content may be incorrect.A map of a hurricane AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Fig. 1-2: Morning weather satellite view of Category-5 Major Hurricane Melissa and the NOAA/NHC 5-day forecast track.

Discussion: At 8AM EDT, Category-5 Major Hurricane Melissa was located about 55 miles south-southeast of Negril, Jamaica with central pressure 901 MB and top wind 175 mph while moving north-northeast at 7 mph. HWRF/HMON hurricane forecast models lower surface pressure to around 890 MB today forcing maximum wind to around 190 mph. The eye is 10 miles wide and will move across the west-central portion of Jamaica later today. All of Jamaica is exposed to catastrophic category-5 major hurricane damage with the passage of this storm. Melissa weakens steadily with interaction of high terrain of Eastern Cuba tomorrow and should lose major hurricane status once north of Cuba. A Hurricane Warning extends eastward to the U.S. Naval Base in Guantanamo Bay. Melissa reaches Bermuda as a hurricane Thursday night.

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Fig. 3: Rainfall forecast from NOAA/NHC for the Caribbean Region due to Melissa.