News
05/31/2026, 1:44 pm EDT

MJO Activates; El Nino Climate to Develop. Cooler East U.S. Extended-range Possible

The Madden Julian oscillation has ignited across the equatorial Pacific Ocean likely to remain intense during the next 2 weeks (Fig. 1). The outlook indicates MJO is withing phase_7 implying a cooler East U.S./warmer West U.S. thermal regime with wet weather biased toward the southern states. Additionally, MJO phase_7 is supportive of a developing El Nino climate as demonstrated by recent and an intense negative southern oscillation index.
05/29/2026, 1:46 pm EDT

New England Whacked With a “Cold Blob” Storm

The North Atlantic warm hole (NAWH) is alive and well south of Greenland! Just published research reveals the cool pool has formed due to the slowing the Atlantic Meridional Ocean Conveyor (AMOC) Belt which began in the late 1990’s. The cool pool has forced the Labrador Current to carry a cold countercurrent (to the Gulf Stream) to east of New England this late spring season. The colder waters are correlated to an upper trough which intensifies tomorrow propelling rain, snow, and high wind across New England.
05/28/2026, 1:34 pm EDT

El Nino Year Major Hurricanes

While the number of hurricanes is diminished during El Nino, damaging hurricanes can still form. Famous moderate-to-strong El Nino year hurricanes include Category-4 Major Hurricane Idalia striking the Big Bend Region of Northwest Florida (2023), Category-4 Major Hurricane Lili striking the Southwest Louisiana Coast (2002), and Category-3 Major Hurricane Bob making 2 landfalls in Rhode Island (1991).
05/28/2026, 9:47 am EDT

Ocean and Soil Moisture Climate Guides for Early Summer in the U.S.

The next 2-3 days will feature an unusually windy, chilly, and rainy scenario across New England and particularly the coast fueled in part by the cold bias on the atmosphere by cooler than normal waters off the Northeast Coast provided by the Labrador Current extending southwestward from the North Atlantic Warm Hole (NAWH) south of Greenland.