05/18/2026, 5:50 am EDT
Combining SPI6 and CAS soil moisture anomaly forecasts for July, an ALERT for excessive heat across ongoing or developing drought areas in the Mid-Atlantic/Southeast States and Great Plains is issued.
News
05/17/2026, 10:07 am EDT
The NEW relative SSTA analysis across the Pacific basin reveals neutral ENSO as measured within the Nino34 SSTA region. Conversely, the standard global SSTA analysis reveals moderate El Nino has formed. As of late April, multivariate ENSO index was -0.6, indicating a lingering La Nina climate.
05/15/2026, 9:24 am EDT
The U.S. Weekly Drought Monitor analysis reveals a slight increase (76%) from the previous week in aerial coverage of dry-to-drought soil moisture conditions while severe (D3-D4) drought remains unchanged at 19%. During May so far, U.S. soil moisture tendency is much drier across the Midwest States and much wetter in the Gulf region. Wet weather including daily severe weather events regenerates in the Central U.S. through the weekend into early next week!
05/15/2026, 9:19 am EDT
The estimated U.S. population weight CDD forecast indicates dynamic models ECM and CFS stay warmer than normal in the week 3-5 outlook while AI models are warmer than ECM/CFS in early June and much cooler for mid-June.