Leading into August, sharp regional SSTA conditions support a semi-permanent trough near and southwestward the North Atlantic warm hole (NAWH) and south-southeast from the Gulf of Alaska Cool Pool. Extending northeastward across the Southwest U.S. toward Hudson Bay from the immense marine heatwave (MHW) off the Southwest Coast of North America is a semi-permanent high-pressure ridge.

At 8AM EDT, Tropical Depression 2 was located at 28,6N/85.6W or about 110 miles south of Panama City, FL moving northwest at 3 mph with top wind near 35 mph and surface pressure 1006 MB. Convection surrounding TD 2 is disorganized but increasing.