The latest Climate Impact Company constructed analog forecasts of temperature and precipitation anomalies during August favor hot and dry climate affecting most of Europe. Although still hot, periods of thundershowers are likely in France. A wet bias develops on South-coastal Europe. The hot/dry bias for Western Europe early-to-middle summer shifts eastward in August.

June 2026 ranked 28th warmest in the 132-year historical record. The anomalous warmth was motivated by MUCH ABOVE normal across the southwest quadrant of the U.S., Northeast Corridor Coast, and Florida. Only Montana was slightly cooler than normal. The ongoing intense marine heatwave off the southwest coast of North America continues to provide the warm temperature bias to the Southwest U.S. while a much warmer western North Atlantic basin helped the East Coast shift warmer.