ECM Indicates Beneficial Wet Weather First Half of September

Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook

Europe/Western Russia

Issued: Sunday August 23, 2026

Highlight: ECM indicates beneficial wet weather first half of September.

Chart of the day: Europe drought location.

Discussion: Core of the Europe drought region stretches from U.K. to France and eastward through Central Europe and reaching Western Russia. Central Europe drought eases slightly during the past week due to some wet weather.

Week-2 Ahead (August 30-September 6, 2026): Wet pattern across northern half of Europe.

Discussion: ECM projects a broad trough across Northern Europe clashing with the Mediterranean Sea ridge to produce an elongated area of wet weather mostly just north of the drought area. Southern Europe will stay dry and hot.

Week-3 Ahead (September 6-13, 2026): Broadening area of wet weather.

Discussion: Similar pattern inspires broader aerial coverage of wet weather. Anomalous heat remains attached to the South Coast.

Week-4 Ahead (September 13-20, 2026): Warmer shift.

Discussion: ECM indicates a re-strengthening upper ridge to warm all of Southern Europe.