09/01/2026, 11:15 am EDT

Sneaky Intense Eduardo

Eduardo is shifting over 31C surface water in a light shear environment. Rapid intensification is possible, given the light shear environment. NOAA/NHC issues a Hurricane Watch and Storm Surge Warning for the Upper Texas and Southwest Louisiana Coast.
09/01/2026, 4:40 am EDT

Record-strength El Nino Ahead and Climate Influences of Other Strong Regional SSTA Patterns

The best initialization and consequently seasonal (SEP/OCT/NOV 2026) outlook of global SSTA is provided by the National Multi-model Ensemble. Of course, El Nino is vividly apparent in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean fueled by the warmest upper ocean heat on record. Most dynamic Nino34 SSTA forecasts maintain record-strength El Nino by mid-to-late Q4/2026. El Nino 2026-27 influence on climate may have similarities to the last intense episode observed in 2015-16 due to the oceanic warming taking place across vast mid-latitude regions not apparent during previous historic El Nino episodes observed in 1982-83 and 1997-98.