02/28/2022, 1:07 pm EST

East Pacific Kelvin Wave Fading; La Nina Regains Some Strength

During the past 2-3 weeks the convective phase of the Madden Julian oscillation (MJO) has dominated the eastern Indian Ocean/West Indonesia tropics. The general rising air induced by convection along this stretch is replaced by increasing easterly trade winds arriving from the central/eastern equatorial Pacific. The trade wind increase in the central/eastern equatorial Pacific has caused up-welling of cool subsurface water to cause La Nina to gain some strength.
02/28/2022, 4:51 am EST

“Rain Bomb” Strikes Central East Coast of Australia

A “perfect storm” emerged just-off Brisbane on the central East Coast of Australia yesterday. A small but intense area of upper-level difluence above an equally intense area of low-level conflue4nce created a “chimney effect” to drive a super convective storm which extended inland unloading record rainfall for Brisbane and surrounding communities.
02/27/2022, 12:01 pm EST

Colder/Snowier Pattern Black Sea Region Ahead

The East Atlantic/Western Russia 15-day forecast reveals a moderate-to-strong positive phase developing during the medium-range. Supported is an evolving colder and (more) snowy pattern in the Black Sea region.