April 2025 - Climate Impact Company

News

04/25/2025, 8:29 am EDT

The Long-term Lack of Precipitation is in the Southwest and Coastal Mid-Atlantic States

The 12-month U.S. precipitation trend is useful to determine what parts of the U.S. have the worst drought condition and potential for additional rapid decline in soil moisture given presence of a dry and warm climate as summer arrives. Clearly, the worst conditions are in Nevada/Arizona and Maryland/Delaware/New Jersey.

04/24/2025, 5:59 am EDT

Identifying Drought and Hurricane Risk in the U.S. for Later Summer

Alignment between NOAA/CPC probability forecasts and the constructed analog prepared by Climate Impact Company is in close agreement for precipitation patterns for meteorological summer 2025 into September 2025. Forecast confidence is above average on two high impact climate regimes which is a significant drought centered on Iowa (and vicinity) and land-falling tropical cyclone risk in the northeast Gulf of Mexico region. The evolution of each risk peaks in August and September.

04/23/2025, 8:32 am EDT

Latest on Solar Cycle 25 Which May Have Ended

The solar maxima for cycle 25 has (apparently) passed although double (maxima) spikes during the last 2 solar maxima suggest another spike in solar activity is possible before a new solar cycle (26) initiates.

04/23/2025, 5:23 am EDT

Cold Risk Introduced to Australia Winter Outlooks

The Climate Impact Company constructed analog climate forecast shifted much cooler for meteorological winter 2025 across Australia. The catalyst to the outlook is an evolving negative phase of the Indian Ocean dipole while neutral ENSO continues. The upper air features a persistent upper ridge across the warming waters west of Australia with a compensating semi-permanent chilly trough over Australia.