07/31/2020, 7:48 am EDT

Hurricane Isaias To Affect The Entire U.S. East Coast!

Miraculously Isaias survived the trek across Hispaniola as a minimal hurricane and will now reorganize over the warm waters of the Bahamas to a category 2 hurricane by tomorrow. Isaias is forecast to turn north and north-northeast staying just off the East Coast of the U.S.
07/28/2020, 8:14 pm EDT

Modern-day La Nina Climatology for SEP/OCT Plus NOV/DEC

La Nina climate is most profound during the cool season. In 2020 a moderate La Nina is forecast to begin in late quarter 3. Since the mid-to-late 1990’s three separate weak-to-moderate La Nina episodes have occurred: 2000, 2007 and 2016. A simple average climate pattern of those 3 analog years for SEP/OCT and NOV/DEC is issued for North America, Europe, South America and Australia.
07/27/2020, 5:29 am EDT

Explaining The Unusually Wet India to China Pattern

During the past 2 months an arc of persistent heavy rainfall has extended from the western half of the tropical Indian Ocean northeastward across parts of India and northeastward from there into China and more recently Japan. The moderate-strength and stalled Madden Julian oscillation is the catalyst.
07/26/2020, 12:35 pm EDT

Northeast Corridor Heat Wave Starts the Week

A Northeast Corridor heat wave begins today. An Excessive Heat Watch is in effect for parts of southern New England valid through 8PM EDT Monday. Heat advisories are in effect for much of the remainder of New England south to the New York City area. Today’s hot weather is without high humidity. However, high dew points arrive tomorrow forcing widespread 105F heat index (or higher) which will last into Tuesday.