06/29/2023, 4:56 am EDT

Cause Of The Wet Pattern Change in the Midwest U.S.

A wet soil moisture change zone emerged in June focused along and just east of the Continental Divide and across the western Great Plains. Operational forecasts in recent days have indicated the wet trend over the West-central U.S. during June will shift eastward and into the Midwest U.S. drought region in July, a somewhat unexpected regime change.
06/28/2023, 5:30 am EDT

Early Winter Heat and Dryness in South America

Central, southwest, and interior southeast portions of Brazil have observed a wet 30-day period dating back to late May. During the past week, central and southern portions of Argentina have received plenty of rain. However, the latest 15-day outlook projects an amplified upper-level high-pressure ridge centered over west-central South America. As a result, the South America climate pattern into the early middle third of July turns unusually hot.
06/27/2023, 10:36 am EDT

El Nino Is Strengthening

The Nino34 SSTA region in the east-central equatorial Pacific Ocean shifted warmer last week to +1.00 as El Nino steadily strengthens and approaches moderate intensity. Waters off the northwest coast of South America (Nino12 region) are the warmest since May 1998 which along with 1982 and 2015 marked the strongest El Nino on record.
06/26/2023, 8:04 am EDT

Damaging Wind Gusts Throughout the Mid-Atlantic Region Today

At last count, yesterday’s severe weather reports climbed to 557 including 187 hail damage messages of which many included 2-inch (or more) sized hailstones. A similar outbreak is forecast for the East U.S. today most focused on the Mid-Atlantic region where the primary issue is damaging wind gusts.