News
03/30/2021, 2:55 pm EDT
The preliminary outlook indicates MAY-SEP 2021 is hotter than last year as the average of the U.S. cities CDD forecast is about 112% of the 30-year normal compared to just-under 109% last year. Meteorological summer (JUN/JUL/AUG) is not quite as hot as last year.
03/30/2021, 7:39 am EDT
Australia Bureau of Meteorology ended La Nina 2020-21 today. SSTA in the equatorial East Pacific remains marginally cool however upper ocean heat to support La Nina’s survival is disappearing fast. The Australia Bureau of Meteorology ENSO forecast indicates neutral ENSO ahead for the middle third of 2021.
03/29/2021, 10:27 am EDT
Last week southern oscillation index returned to weak positive phase and trade winds off the northwest coast of South America also returned. As a result, the increased trade winds up-welled cool waters to cause all Nino SSTA regions to fall to within La Nina thresholds. However, the subsurface at 75+ meters continue to warm and subsurface cool water supply to sustain La Nina is steadily losing amplitude.
03/24/2021, 8:13 am EDT
The Loop Current is unusually active in the Gulf of Mexico SSTA pattern right now causing an area of very warm water to gather just-off the southeast coast of Louisiana where the current undergoes the east turn. The pool of very warm water has caused the low-level atmosphere in this region to become unusually moist.