08/31/2022, 4:07 pm EDT

China Drought Persists as Hinnamnor Misses to the East; U.S. Drought Expansion

Category-4 Typhoon Hinnamnor just-misses China to the east this weekend as intense drought continues. The immense California heatwave ahead peaks in strength next Tuesday. NOAA 30-day forecasts widen Midwest and Northeast drought while implicating Louisiana for September hurricanes.
08/31/2022, 12:46 pm EDT

Mid-layer Relative Humidity Suddenly Increases in Tropics Favoring Uptick in Activity

The low relative humidity dominating the central North Atlantic tropics in August but easing recently suggests the environment is improving for tropical cyclone development except for the upper shear pattern in the Caribbean Sea and central North Atlantic tropics.
08/30/2022, 8:21 am EDT

Mostly Very Warm Weekly Population Weight CDD Totals Summer 2022 in U.S.

Using NOAA population weight CDD observations, the U.S. weekly population weight CDD was variable – normal and warm – early during summer 2022. The hottest part of summer climatologically is when the hottest weekly CDD count occurred in July. Recently, briefly cooler national CDD was observed. The warm season 2022 finishes somewhat warmer than normal.
08/30/2022, 8:12 am EDT

ECMWF Week 2-5 Outlook: The Important Storms Likely to Emerge in Gulf of Mexico

ECMWF indicates the most likely location for tropical cyclones to develop that can become hurricanes and make landfall on the U.S. Coast is in the Gulf of Mexico for the last third of September and into early October. This season's core activity arrives late and lasts longer than usual!