August 2022 - Page 3 of 3 - Climate Impact Company

08/08/2022, 12:56 pm EDT

U.S. 3rd Hottest July on Record

July 2022 was a brutally hot mid-summer for most Americans. July 2022 ranked 3rd hottest of the 128-year climatology. Texas observed their hottest July on record inspired by harsh drought. 7 states observed all-time to-5 months of July stretching from Oregon to Rhode Island.

08/08/2022, 10:09 am EDT

North Atlantic ITCZ is Stronger; Tropical Disturbance Forming

A tropical disturbance is forming in the eastern North Atlantic tropics. This system is likely to drift westward and approach the far northeast Caribbean Sea in 5 days. This system should strengthen moving into the central North Atlantic tropics.

08/05/2022, 10:33 am EDT

Interpreting ECMWF…U.S. & Europe 6-Month Climate Pattern

ECMWF upper air forecasts for North America and Europe through February with annotated sensible weather interpretations identify ECMWF opinion of the climate pattern through meteorological winter 2022-23.

08/03/2022, 8:33 am EDT

Europe Drought Worsens; Rhine River About to Close

Europe drought is worsening as Warning/Alert level of drought is becoming widespread. The latest 15-day forecasts are both very warm to hot across Southwest to Central Europe and dry for most of Europe according to ECM ENS.

08/02/2022, 7:59 am EDT

Widespread Excessive Rainfall/Flood Risk Next 3 Days

While drought discussion has been a significant issue during mid-summer, excessive rain zones are expanding as early August arrives. The East Kentucky/Central Appalachia historic flood is expanding. Excessive rainfall leading to flash flooding is forecast across all of Kentucky today with greatest risk in southeast Illinois.

08/02/2022, 5:42 am EDT

Why Have Week-2 U.S. CDD Forecasts Been Too Hot?

Week-2 ahead U.S. population weight CDD forecasts have routinely been too hot for most of meteorological summer so far. Speculated is forecast models are hot-biased due to stronger than existing dry soil moisture conditions which produce short-term errors that grow with time. NOAA soil moisture analysis varies from dramatically dry to realistic dry.

08/01/2022, 12:50 pm EDT

Forecast Models Struggling with Central/East Hot/Dry Weather Forecasts.

Not convenient is the developing hot/dry bias by the GFS (and all models are showing this problem) during the past 2+ weeks for the Central/Midwest U.S. Maximum temperatures are hot at times but nowhere near 2-meter forecasts offered primarily by the GFS.