Heavy Rain Southeast Brazil Ahead!
07/20/2026, 5:47 am EDT
Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook
Europe/Western Russia
Issued: Wednesday July 22, 2026
Highlight: Regenerating hot/dry high-pressure ridge biased eastward.
Charts of the day: Europe soil moisture analysis/10-day rainfall outlook.
Discussion: Soil moisture anomalies analysis reveals a large dry-to-drought scenario across Europe. The core of the drought is in France and Western Romania. The 10-day rainfall anomaly outlook by ECMWF indicates widespread drier than normal conditions.
Week-2 Ahead (August 2-9, 2026): Regenerating heat.
Discussion: The lead-in for the week-2 forecast by operational ensembles upper air forecasts are most aligned with ECMWF “weeklies” displayed in the outlook. Rebuilding upper-level high-pressure ridge supports hot and dry weather centered on South-central Europe.
Week-3 Ahead (August 9-16): Heat continues.
Discussion: The upper air pattern is stagnant and supports ongoing heat and dryness centered on South-central/Interior Southeast Europe.
Week-4 Ahead (August 16-23): Heat continues Central/East Europe.
Discussion: Wet weather appears in Southwest Europe, and a showery regime extends northeastward from the Black Sea region. In between, hot and dry weather is stagnant over East/Southeast Europe.