South America Week 2-4 Outlook: Brazil shifts drier; Hot Southeast Brazil.
04/14/2026, 11:29 am EDT
Climate Impact Company Gas/Power Report
Highlight: PJM-West heat risk is suppressed for summer 2026; Hot risk PJM-East mostly mid-to-late summer.
Fig. 1: PJM-East selected cities averaged CDD forecasts for the 2026 warm season.
Discussion: The warm season (MAY-SEP) 2026 cooling degree days outlook for selected cities across the PJM Service Area indicates a split (climate) pattern. In the East, early meteorological summer CDD is suppressed with below the 30-year normal forecast considerably cooler than the past 2 seasons (Fig. 1). However, the mid-summer to early autumn outlook indicates the PJM-East CDD forecast is near or warmer than the 10-year normal suggesting important heat risk is (mostly) during the second half of summer. In Richmond, a similar theme with hottest risk during mid-to-late summer and strongest warm anomaly forecast for August (Fig. 2). PJM-West is susceptible to El Nino-fueled cloudiness and wet weather likely to suppress warm season cooling demand (Fig. 3).
Fig. 2: Richmond selected cities averaged CDD forecasts for the 2026 warm season.
Fig. 3: PJM-West selected cities averaged CDD forecasts for the 2026 warm season.