ECM/CFS Warm June (CDD’s); AI Shifts Cooler
05/15/2026, 9:19 am EDT
Wet Weather South AND East Through the Memorial Day Weekend
05/22/2026, 8:40 am EDT
Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook
Europe/Western Russia
Issued: Tuesday, May 19, 2026
Highlight: Developing/broadening warm/dry pattern for Europe as meteorological summer 2026 arrives.
Charts of the day: Latest 7-day rainfall observations and soil moisture anomalies.
Discussion: Wet weather has spread across much of Europe during the middle third of May. Some areas have missed the rain (France and east/south Spain). Dry soil moisture conditions are eroding slightly in Europe during the wetter period.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid May 31-June 7, 2026: Warmer/drier Southwest to Central Europe.
Discussion: High pressure crests off the France West Coast and causes very warm to hot weather in Southern France to Spain and Portugal. Dryness expands from Southwest to Central Europe. The Black Sea region is cool with showers.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid June 7-14, 2026: Expanding anomalous warmth.
Discussion: High pressure broadens across Europe and causes an expansive warmer than normal pattern which includes a drier weather pattern. Showery weather is possible across North Africa.
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid June 14-21, 2026: Very warm and dry for most of Europe.
Discussion: The upper ridge pattern holds sustaining a warm-to-hot and mostly dry climate across Europe for mid-June.