Warm/Dry Into Early January U.S. AG Belt
12/21/2025, 9:26 am EST
East U.S. & Europe Turn Cold In The 6-10-day Period Increasing Risk of Natural Gas Price Rise
12/23/2025, 12:09 pm EST
Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook
Europe/Western Russia
Issued: Monday, December 22, 2025
Highlight: Much colder shift for Europe.
Chart of the day: Europe population-weight daily temperature forecast.
Discussion: The Europe population weight 15-day daily average temperature identifies a significantly colder trend.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid December 28, 2025-January 4, 2026: Significant colder change.
Discussion: Deep upper trough forms over Eastern Europe during late December. The result is a significant cold. Arctic air gathers over Northwest Russia and some of that air mass is pulled into Europe. A vigorous storm track across the Mediterranean Sea with the northern portion all snow including Southeast Europe, The Black Sea region, and Southwest Russia.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid January 4-11, 2026: Snow enhances cold.
Discussion: The colder pattern is locked-in and enhanced by snow cover which expands and deepens across South-central, Southeast, and East Europe to Southwest Russia.
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid January 11-18, 2026: Staying cold.
Discussion: The snow cover is a key player sustaining the Europe chill through mid-January.