Wetter Argentina/Southeast Brazil; Cooler Argentina Ahead

Weekend Stormy Impacts Increasing for Mid-Atlantic Coast

09/25/2026, 1:54 pm EDT

Weekend Stormy Impacts Increasing for Mid-Atlantic Coast

09/25/2026, 1:54 pm EDT
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Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook

South America

Issued: Tuesday September 29, 2026

Highlight: Southeast Brazil rain/Argentina shifts wetter/cooler.

Charts of the day: Soil moisture ranking and 7-day rainfall observations.

Discussion: Soil moisture conditions trend wetter across Argentina to Southeast Brazil and drier than normal to the north for much of Brazil. The 7-day rainfall observations yield no rain in Northern Argentina with lack of rain for Northern Brazil while a generally wet regime affected Southeast Brazil to Northeast Argentina.

Week-2 Ahead (October 11-18, 2026): Widening wet weather/cooler Argentina. Southeast Brazil rains (also) expand.

Discussion: Upper trough stretched across Northern Argentina produces two expansive areas of rainfall including western and southern Argentina plus expanding Southeast Brazil. Argentina is cooler than normal.

Week-3 Ahead (October 18-25, 2026): Staying wet Southeast Brazil.

Discussion: Upper trough pattern in Argentina remains shifting slightly southward. The Argentina cool regime continues, and Southeast Brazil rains are heavier.

Week-4 Ahead (October 25-November 1, 2026): Hotter north of the Southeast Brazil rains.

Discussion: Brazil shifts hotter (and drier) although Southeast Brazil stays wet. West/Central Argentina stay wet/cool.