Cool/Wet U.S. AG Belt; Dangerous Heat and Dry West/Central Europe

Climate Impact Company Sunday Global Weather/Climate Report

Issued: Sunday June 14, 2026

Highlight: Cool/wet pattern for U.S. Corn Belt; Hot/dry weather supports drought development in Europe.

NEW: The U.S. AG Belt is affected by cool weather through the next 10 days (at least) along with streaks of wet weather (Fig. 1). In the 11-15-day period, the 12Z GFS breaks the cool pattern (Fig. 2). The 16-30-day forecasts are generally hotter/drier than normal for the first half of July. During the 16-30-day period, wet weather may shift to the Northeast States.

Fig. 1-2: 12Z GFS 1-10-day rainfall anomaly forecast across the U.S. AG Belt and 12Z GFS 11-15-day temperature anomaly outlook.

ALERT for significant anomalous heat and dryness emerges across West and Central Europe during the second half of June. To best illustrate the threat, the AIFS ENS is utilized (Fig. 3-5). AIFS ENS has generally been the top or near the top model for skill scores during the past 30 days. Below normal ground water suggests rapidly developing drought conditions are possible in affected areas. Most dynamic models maintain the anomalous heat and dryness expanding across Europe during the 16-30-day period.

Fig. 3-5: AIFS ENS 1-7-day and 8-14-day temperature anomaly forecast across Europe plus the 15-day rainfall anomaly outlook.