Cold Weather into The Black Sea Region
04/09/2025, 11:28 am EDT
Discussion: Comparing the CIC-CA summer 2025 outlook and the NOAA/CPC probabilistic summer 2025 outlook to establish confidence indicates a high probability of hot to very hot summer climate in the West, heavy rains in the Southeast, and a North-central to Interior Northwest U.S. drought.
Medium-range 6-10 Day Forecast Valid April 16-20, 2025 (24-hour change)
Discussion: Another cold wave into the East in the 6-10-day forecast while western warmth persists with a slight easing of intensity.
Medium-range 11-15 Day Forecast Valid April 21-25, 2025 (24-hour change)
Discussion: An upper trough moves into the West causing cooler changes as the warm pattern shifts eastward centered on the South-central U.S.
U.S. Medium-range Precipitation Forecast
Discussion: Wet weather develops near the 4-Corners region in the 6-10-day period expanding across the entire Great Plains in the 11-15-day forecast. The West Coast and Southeast Coast stay dry throughout the period.
Days 16-20 Extended range Temperature Forecast valid April 26-30, 2025
Discussion: Warmth shifts into the East. Less confidence is regeneration of warmth in the West. Wet weather remains biased toward the Central U.S. centered on Texas.