Consistent Forecast: Europe Turns Wintery Cold Again Mid-February

Arctic Air Watch for 3rd Week of February Issued
01/31/2024, 2:48 pm EST
Colder U.S. Pattern Change Ahead; Arctic Air Adheres to Snow Cover
02/05/2024, 5:55 am EST
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Charts of the day: The Europe/Western Russia MAR/APR/MAY 2024 Outlook

Discussion: The Climate Impact Company meteorological spring 2024 outlook for Europe and Western Russia indicates lingering cool weather in Europe while Russia turns warmer than normal. A wet spring is forecast for Southwest Russia.

Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid February 11-17, 2024: Trending stormy and colder.

     

Discussion: Persistent upper trough across Northwest Eurasia during winter 2023-24 shifts to Central Europe. Gradually, Northern Europe chill shifts farther south. The upper trough triggers a significant storm track across Southern Europe through the Black Sea region with increasing risk of snow.

Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid February 18-24, 2024: Late winter snow and cold for Europe.

Discussion: Negative North Atlantic oscillation (-NAO) forces a cold and stormy upper trough centered on Central Europe. A late winter cold/snowy pattern continues to evolve.

Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid February 25-March 2, 2024: Lingering chill into early March.

Discussion: The upper trough shifts farther south and is weaker. However, chilly weather lingers across Europe. The storm track shifts farther southward and Europe weather trend is drier.