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Climate Impact Company Week 2-4 Outlook
Europe/Western Russia
Issued: Monday, March 2, 2026
Highlight: Evolving Southern Europe storm track.
Charts of the day: Europe soil moisture conditions.
Discussion: Prior to mountain snowmelt and attendant runoff, soil moisture conditions are prohibitively dry across Central and East Europe.
Week-2 Ahead Forecast valid March 8-15, 2026: Mild and dry much of Europe; Western Russia stays cold.
Discussion: Forecast trend is less cold West Russia to the Black Sea region compared to the previous outlook. Additionally, the Black Sea region trend is somewhat drier. North and northeast of Caspian Sea is snowy.
Week-3 Ahead Forecast valid March 15-22, 2026: Shifting wetter Southern Europe/Middle East.
Discussion: The outlook shifts wetter across Northern Africa and Southern Europe while the mild pattern in Europe loses intensity. Wet weather extends to the Middle East.
Week-4 Ahead Forecast valid March 22-29, 2026: Southern Europe to Middle East storm track.
Discussion: Northern Africa, Southern Europe, and into the Middle East develop an impressive low latitude storm track. Central Europe to West/Southwest Russia and most of the Black Sea region are drier than normal.